NEPSE Intelligence | SanoLagani
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Market live | live update | 2083/01/31

NEPSE Intelligence

Clear all-out trend chaina, tara strongest pockets ma selective setup baniraheko cha. Yo view le aaja ko market setup lai clearer action plan ma translate garchha.

Market Overview
2730.17
-10.07 (-0.36%)
CLOSED Rs 3290244620
Risk level: Cautious

Market Breadth

Sector breadth ra participation ko quick picture

Advance
2
15%
Neutral
1
8%
Decline
10
77%
Breadth Trend

Breadth is still negative, but the damage is easing.

Aaja Ko Smart Move

Selective accumulation

Clear all-out trend chaina, tara strongest pockets ma selective setup baniraheko cha.

Timeframe Chhanaut
Investor Profile Chhanaut Garnuhos
Market Mood
Fear trending_down
Cautious
Entry Score
36
Wait for confirmation
Exit Score
44
Hold with plan
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north_east

Strong balance-sheet bhayeka companies ma selective buying garnu hos.

north_east

One-shot entry bhanda 2-3 tranches ma allocate garnu hos.

north_east

Daily breadth ra sector rotation watch garnu hos.

Aba K Garne?

Selective accumulation

80% similar setups le upside follow-through dekhayo.

NEPSE Technicals

Trend, zone, ra participation ko quick summary

Medium-term
Current Zone
Support retest zone
Market is near yearly low zone.
Turnover Quality
Controlled pullback
Volume is 49.9% below average
Trend Strength
-1.66% over 180 sessions
Short-term momentum negative (-2.10%)
Indicator Value Signal
Buying Pressure Weak Price is soft, but the move is not being amplified by turnover.
Market Breadth Defensive breadth 2 up / 10 down
Leadership Persistence 2 sessions Trading
Support / Resistance Bands
Support: 2676.68 - 2704.08
Resistance: 2783.85 - 2866.87
Turnover Quality

Price is soft, but the move is not being amplified by turnover.

Breadth Trend

Breadth is still negative, but the damage is easing.

Investor Psychology

Crowd mood, confidence cap, ra warning context

Market Mood
Fear trending_down

Market analysis based on the latest available session data.

Confidence Logic
55%

30 sessions matra synced cha, so confidence lai moderate lens bata hernu hos.

History depth 35%
Breadth quality 25%
Turnover conviction 20%
Leadership persistence 20%

Sector Performance

Latest relative strength anusar sector movers

Sector Movers
trending_up
Trading
Leading sector
+0.32%
Bullish mood
trending_up
Mutual Fund
Leading sector
+0.08%
Bullish mood
trending_up
Life Insurance
Leading sector
+0.01%
Bullish mood
trending_down
Development Bank
Lagging sector
-0.53%
Weak setup
trending_down
Finance
Lagging sector
-0.72%
Weak setup
trending_down
Others
Lagging sector
-2.00%
Weak setup
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Personalized Advice

Balanced lens: opportunity capture garnu, tara downside discipline pani rakhnu. Risk level: Cautious

Execution Guide
arrow_forward

Strong balance-sheet bhayeka companies ma selective buying garnu hos.

arrow_forward

One-shot entry bhanda 2-3 tranches ma allocate garnu hos.

arrow_forward

Daily breadth ra sector rotation watch garnu hos.

Leadership Persistence

Trading led 3 of the last 10 sector sessions.

Leadership exists, but not in a clean uninterrupted streak.

Profile Guidance
check_circle

Position size lai confidence ko sathe match garnu hos.

check_circle

Leadership sectors ma matra conviction badhaunu hos.

check_circle

Breadth defensive bhaye cash ra hedge mindset lai priority dinu hos.

Historical Pattern Comparison

Pachhilla 5 similar setups ko context

5 cases
Historical Read

Past similar setups often pulled back first.

5 comparable session madhye downside volatility pahila dekhine tendency cha.

Downside Warning
60%
Upside Probability
80%
2083/01/23
Distance 4.2
1.07%
Worst dip 0.26%
2083/01/30
Distance 5.5
-0.37%
Worst dip -0.37%
2083/01/22
Distance 9.1
1.16%
Worst dip -0.06%
2083/01/24
Distance 9.5
0.44%
Worst dip 0.44%
2083/01/17
Distance 11.8
0.25%
Worst dip -1.26%

Support / Resistance Bands

Selected timeframe ko trigger levels with action context

Range Mid 2743.97
Support
2676.68 - 2704.08

Selective accumulation zone

Current Zone
Support retest zone

Market is near yearly low zone.

Resistance
2783.85 - 2866.87

Breakout decision zone

Bullish continuation
Above 2876.43

Upside continuation gets stronger if NEPSE closes above this level with positive breadth and controlled pullback.

Base case / range trade
Between 2704.08 and 2783.85
Active

This zone favors selective accumulation, rotation, and patience while sector leadership stays mixed.

Cautious / risk-off
Below 2667.12

A decisive close below this level would weaken structure and shift focus toward capital protection.

Last 5 Session Sector Heatmap

Green = positive, gray = flat, red = negative. Dates BS ma synced sector sessions hun.

Sector 2083/01/25 2083/01/28 2083/01/29 2083/01/30 2083/01/31 Latest
Trading
3/5 positive sessions
+0.00%
+1.15%
-2.33%
+1.50%
+0.32%
+0.32%
Mutual Fund
4/5 positive sessions
+0.55%
+0.06%
+0.19%
-0.39%
+0.08%
+0.08%
Life Insurance
2/5 positive sessions
+0.64%
+0.99%
-0.54%
-0.50%
+0.01%
+0.01%
Banking
2/5 positive sessions
+0.67%
+1.02%
-0.83%
-0.24%
-0.06%
-0.06%
Microfinance
2/5 positive sessions
+0.16%
+1.70%
-1.51%
-0.52%
-0.24%
-0.24%
Hydropower
2/5 positive sessions
+1.71%
+1.79%
-2.22%
-0.12%
-0.25%
-0.25%
Investment
2/5 positive sessions
+1.12%
+1.25%
-1.30%
-0.22%
-0.26%
-0.26%
Hotels And Tourism
2/5 positive sessions
+1.48%
+0.69%
-2.02%
-0.42%
-0.29%
-0.29%
Non Life Insurance
2/5 positive sessions
+1.52%
+1.60%
-0.77%
-0.61%
-0.51%
-0.51%
Manufacturing And Processing
3/5 positive sessions
+1.40%
+1.30%
-1.65%
+0.47%
-0.52%
-0.52%
Development Bank
2/5 positive sessions
+0.93%
+1.36%
-1.37%
-0.19%
-0.53%
-0.53%
Finance
2/5 positive sessions
+1.87%
+1.81%
-2.03%
-0.36%
-0.72%
-0.72%
Others
2/5 positive sessions
+1.14%
+2.11%
-1.49%
-0.30%
-2.00%
-2.00%

Recent Session Integrity

Latest sessions ko close, change, ra turnover

Date (BS) Close Change % Turnover
2083/01/31 2730.17 -0.36% 3290244620
2083/01/30 2740.25 -0.15% 2807446362
2083/01/29 2744.40 -1.41% 4665020678
2083/01/28 2783.85 1.39% 4613563636
2083/01/25 2745.65 1.01% 3286870559

Tactical Strategies

Current setup ko positioning ideas

stacked_line_chart

Staged Entry

Capital lai 2-3 tranches ma divide garera confirmation sanga scale-in garnu hos.

Reduces timing pressure
query_stats

Defense First

Lagging sectors avoid garera only resilient names shortlist garnu hos.

Cuts weak exposure
shield

Risk Guard

Invalidation level agadi nai define garera downside plan ready rakhnu hos.

Protects capital discipline
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